April 14, 2021
Health News

Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England – Science

Abstract
A novel SARS-CoV-2 variant, VOC 202012/01 (lineage B.1.1.7), emerged in southeast England in November 2020 and is rapidly spreading toward fixation. Using a variety of statistical and dynamic modelling approaches, we estimate that this variant has a 4390% (range of 95% credible intervals 38130%) higher reproduction number than preexisting variants. A fitted two-strain dynamic transmission model shows that VOC 202012/01 will lead to large resurgences of COVID-19 cases. Without stringent…

Click here to view the original article.

Related Posts

You might also like ...

Article feature image
Study finds 1 in 3 COVID-19 survivors have neurological or mental health disorders – FirstCoastNews.com WTLV-WJXX
Article feature image
Wearing masks could save at least 14000 people from COVID-19 deaths by August, model predicts – KSL.com
Article feature image
For many sufferers of lingering COVID-19 symptoms, proving they are sick is a big part of the battle – KCCI Des Moines